Forecasting Peruvian Blueberry Exports for Sustainable Agricultural Trade Management: Markov Chains, SARIMA, and Log-Linear Growth

Jean Michell Carrión-Mezones; Francisco Eduardo Cúneo-Fernández; Rogger Orlando Morán-Santamaría

doi:10.3390/su18094529

Forecasting Peruvian Blueberry Exports for Sustainable Agricultural Trade Management: Markov Chains, SARIMA, and Log-Linear Growth

Jean Michell Carrión-Mezones
, Francisco Eduardo Cúneo-Fernández
, Rogger Orlando Morán-Santamaría

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Original language	English
Article number	4529
Journal	Sustainability (Switzerland)
Volume	18
Issue number	9
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.3390/su18094529
State	Published - 1 May 2026

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy

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10.3390/su18094529

Cite this

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title = "Forecasting Peruvian Blueberry Exports for Sustainable Agricultural Trade Management: Markov Chains, SARIMA, and Log-Linear Growth",

keywords = "agricultural exports, blueberries, economic sustainability, Monte Carlo simulation, sustainable trade management",

author = "Carri{\'o}n-Mezones, \{Jean Michell\} and C{\'u}neo-Fern{\'a}ndez, \{Francisco Eduardo\} and Mor{\'a}n-Santamar{\'i}a, \{Rogger Orlando\}",

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month = may,

day = "1",

doi = "10.3390/su18094529",

language = "English",

volume = "18",

journal = "Sustainability (Switzerland)",

issn = "2071-1050",

publisher = "Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)",

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Forecasting Peruvian Blueberry Exports for Sustainable Agricultural Trade Management: Markov Chains, SARIMA, and Log-Linear Growth. / Carrión-Mezones, Jean Michell; Cúneo-Fernández, Francisco Eduardo; Morán-Santamaría, Rogger Orlando.
In: Sustainability (Switzerland), Vol. 18, No. 9, 4529, 01.05.2026.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

TY - JOUR

T1 - Forecasting Peruvian Blueberry Exports for Sustainable Agricultural Trade Management

T2 - Markov Chains, SARIMA, and Log-Linear Growth

AU - Carrión-Mezones, Jean Michell

AU - Cúneo-Fernández, Francisco Eduardo

AU - Morán-Santamaría, Rogger Orlando

PY - 2026/5/1

Y1 - 2026/5/1

KW - agricultural exports

KW - blueberries

KW - economic sustainability

KW - Monte Carlo simulation

KW - sustainable trade management

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105038604686

U2 - 10.3390/su18094529

DO - 10.3390/su18094529

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:105038604686

SN - 2071-1050

VL - 18

JO - Sustainability (Switzerland)

JF - Sustainability (Switzerland)

IS - 9

M1 - 4529

ER -

Forecasting Peruvian Blueberry Exports for Sustainable Agricultural Trade Management: Markov Chains, SARIMA, and Log-Linear Growth

UN SDGs

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